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Quantitative Macroeconomics - Tue 9:00 - 12:00, Room: Harkness 208
NOTE:
You can find all class materials at Blackboard. If not, drop me an email with your NetID.
Syllabus[pdf]
Instructor
- Jay H. Hong, Harkness 227
- Office Hours: Wednesday 2-3p and by appointment
Course Description
ECO 535 is the first sequence in 2nd year macro. The goal of this course is to learn the tools to write a good paper which are combinations of the followings: (1) theoretical tools (models), (2) relationship between model and data (calibration), (3) technique to solve the model (computation), most importantly (4) new idea with relevant economic questions. Therefore, we will learn a class of models which can be used, look at data seriously, learn how to solve the models with the computer, and try to come up with your own research agenda.
Here is my favorite saying from Víctor Ríos-Rull.
"This is a Ph.D. course not a Masters course. As such students are not expected to learn what other people have discovered, but the tools that are needed in order to discover things by themselves. Because of this reason the active work of the students is crucial to achieve the objective of mastering the tools that are described above. This is a course to learn to do things, and, therefore, it requires to do some things."
You should expect to learn a lot from homeworks which will be assigned almost everyweeks. Generally speaking, homeworks will involve some degree of computer programming and will be designed to be relatively difficult. The main point of these homeworks is to make students get used to the tools and get ready to write a good research paper.
Prerequisites
- First year macro sequences (Eco 475 and 476) are prerequisites.
- Some prior knowledge in computer programming are recommended. If you don't have any, it is good time to start learning fortran. Students are also expected to learn the packages such as, Matlab, Stata.
Requirements and Grades
- Your grade will be determined by equally weighted homework assignments, several referee reports, (at least two)class presentations, a final exam, and a final research proposal. The due date of your proposal is 11:59pm (EST) on Dec 31, 2009.
- Every assignments should be typed up in TeX and converted in pdf and uploaded into Blackboard. This is the only way to submit your homework. No email, no hardcopy, please. The file name should read as "53509HW01-Lastname.pdf". Make sure to submit your own code
(compressed in \53509HW1-Lastname.zip") when your assignment requires some programming.
Textbooks
There is no textbook in this course. But, there are a few excellent references which you will find useful.
- Kenneth Judd, Numerical Methods in Economics, MIT press (ISBN 0-262-10071-1)
- Ramon Marimon and Andrew Scott ed., Computational Methods for the Study of Dynamic Economies, Oxford Univ Press (ISBN 0-199-24827-3)
- Burkhard Heer and Alfred Maußner, Dynamic General Equilibrium Modelling: Computational Methods and Applications, Springer (ISBN 3-540-22095-4)
- William Press et al, Numerical Recipes in FORTRAN, Cambridge University Press, available online
Schedule
In the first few classes, we will review what we've learned from last year and then see more complicated models.
We will start again from neoclassical growth model. We will also look at various numerical methods to solve the standard model.
Then, we will look at the economies with incomplete markets. We will also learn the basic overlapping generation model and its applications.
We will also look at family economics.
Problem Sets
References
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AIYAGARI, S. R. (1994): "Uninsured Idiosyncratic Risk and Aggregate
Saving," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 109(3), 659-684. [pdf]
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AIYAGARI, S. R., AND E. R. MCGRATTAN (1998): "The optimum
quantity of debt," Journal of Monetary Economics, 42(3), 447-469.
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ALVAREZ, F., AND U. JERMANN (2000): "Efficiency,
Equilibrium, and Asset Pricing with Risk of Default," Econometrica,
68(4), 775-797.
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ARUOBA, S. B., J. FERNANDEZ-VILLAVERDE, AND J. F.
RUBIO-RAMIREZ (2006): "Comparing solution methods for dynamic equilibrium
economies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 30(12),
2477-2508.
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BEWLEY, T. (1986): "Stationary Monetary Equilibrium With a Continuum
of Independently Fluctuating Consumers," in Contributions to
Mathematical Economics in Honor of Gérard Debreu, ed. by W. Hildenbrand,
and A. Mas-Colell. North Holland, Amsterdam.
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BUDRIA RODRIGUEZ, S., J. DIAZ-GIMENEZ, V. QUADRINI, AND
J.-V. RIOR-RULL (2002): "Updated facts on the U.S. distributions of
earnings, income, and wealth," Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
Quarterly Review, 26(3), 2-35.
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CAGETTI, M. (2003): "Wealth Accumulation over the Life Cycle and
Precautionary Savings," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics,
21(3), 339-53.
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CAGETTI, M., AND M. DENARDI (2006): "Entrepreneurship,
Frictions, and Wealth," Journal of Political Economy, 114(5),
835-870.
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CASTAñEDA, A., J. DíAZ-GIMéNEZ, AND J.-V.
RíOS-RULL (2003): "Accounting for earnings and wealth inequality,"
Journal of Political Economy, 111(4), 818-857. [pdf]
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CAUCUTT, E. M., N. GUNER, AND J. KNOWLES (2002): "Why Do
Women Wait? Matching, Wage Inequality, and the Incentives for Fertility
Delay," Review of Economic Dynamics, 5(4), 815-855.
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CHAMBERS, M., C. GARRIGA, AND D. E. SCHLAGENHAUF (2007):
"Accounting for Changes in the Homeownership Rate," Working Papers.
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CHATTERJEE, S. (1994): "Transitional dynamics and the distribution
of wealth in a neoclassical growth model," Journal of Public
Economics, 54(1), 97-119.
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CHATTERJEE, S., D. CORBAE, M. NAKAJIMA, AND J.-V.
RíOS-RULL (2007): "A Quantitative Theory of Unsecured Consumer Credit
with Risk of Default," Econometrica, 75(6), 1525-1589.
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CONESA, J. C., S. KITAO, AND D. KRUEGER (2007): "Taxing
Capital? Not a Bad Idea After All!," NBER Working Papers 12880, National
Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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CONESA, J. C., AND D. KRUEGER (1999): "Social Security
Reform with Heterogeneous Agents," Review of Economic Dynamics, 2(4),
757-795.
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COSTAIN, J. S., AND M. REITER (2004): "Stabilization
versus insurance: welfare effects of procyclical taxation under incomplete
markets," Economics Working Papers 890, Department of Economics and
Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
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CUBEDDU, L. M., AND J.-V. RíOS-RULL (2003): "Families
as shocks," Journal of the European Economic Association, 1(2-3),
671-682, (Papers and Proceedings of the Seventeenth Annual Congress of the
European Economic Association, Venice, 21-24 August 2002).
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DáVILA, J., J. H. HONG, P. KRUSELL, AND J.-V.
RíOS-RULL (2005): "Constrained efficiency in the neoclassical growth
model with uninsurable idiosyncratic shocks," Unpublished Manuscript, CAERP. [pdf]
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DENARDI, M. (2004): "Wealth Inequality and Intergenerational
Links," Review of Economic Studies, 71, 743-768.
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DOMEIJ, D., AND J. HEATHCOTE (2004): "On The
Distributional Effects Of Reducing Capital Taxes," International
Economic Review, 45(2), 523-554.
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EROSA, A., L. FUSTER, AND G. KAMBOUROV (2008): "The
Heterogeneity and Dynamics of Individual Labor Supply over the Life-Cycle:
Facts and Theory," Working Papers.
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EROSA, A., AND G. VENTURA (2002): "On inflation as a
regressive consumption tax," Journal of Monetary Economics, 49(4),
761-795.
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FERNáNDEZ-VILLAVERDE, J., AND D. KRUEGER (2004):
"Consumption and Saving over the Life Cycle: How Important are Consumer
Durables?," 2004 Meeting Papers 357b, Society for Economic Dynamics.
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FLODEN, M. (2008): "Aggregate Savings When Individual Income
Varies," Review of Economic Dynamics, 11(1), 70-82.
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FLODEN, M., AND J. LINDE (2001): "Idiosyncratic Risk in the United States and
Sweden: Is There a Role for Government Insurance?," Review of Economic
Dynamics, 4(2), 406-437.
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GALLIPOLI, G., C. MEGHIR, AND G. L. VIOLANTE (2007):
"Equilibrium Effects of Education Policies: a Quantitative Evaluation,"
Working Papers.
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GALOR, ODED, AND ZEIRA, JOSEPH (1993): "Income
Distribution and Macroeconomics," The Review of Economic Studies,
60(1), 35-52.
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HEATHCOTE, J. (2005): "Fiscal Policy with Heterogeneous Agents and
Incomplete Markets," Review of Economic Studies, 72(1), 161-188.
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HEATHCOTE, J., K. STORESLETTEN, AND G. L. VIOLANTE (2007):
"Insurance and Opportunities: A Welfare Analysis of Labor Market Risk,"
NBER Working Papers 13673, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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HOPENHAYN, H., AND R. ROGERSON (1993): "Job Turnover and
Policy Evaluation: A General Equilibrium Analysis," Journal of
Political Economy, 101(5), 915-38.
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HOPENHAYN, H. A. (1992): "Entry, Exit, and Firm Dynamics in Long Run
Equilibrium," Econometrica, 60(5), 1127-50.
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HUBBARD, R. G., AND K. L. JUDD (1987): "Social Security
and Individual Welfare: Precautionary Saving, Borrowing Constraints, and the
Payroll Tax," American Economic Review, 77(4), 630-646.
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HUGGETT, M. (1993): "The Risk Free Rate in Heterogeneous-Agents,
Incomplete Insurance Economies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and
Control, 17(5-6), 953-970. [pdf]
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HUGGETT, M. (1996): "Wealth distribution in life-cycle economies,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, 38(3), 469-494.
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HUGGETT, M. (2004): "Precautionary Wealth Accumulation," Review
of Economic Studies, 71, 769-781.
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HUGGETT, M., AND S. OSPINA (2001): "Aggregate
Precautionary Savings: When is the Third Derivative Irrelevant?,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, 48(2), 373-396.
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HUGGETT, M., AND G. VENTURA (1999): "On the Distributional
Effects of Social Security Reform," Review of Economic Dynamics,
2(3), 498-531.
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HUGGETT, M., G. VENTURA, AND A. YARON (2007): "Sources of
Lifetime Inequality," NBER Working Papers 13224, National Bureau of Economic
Research, Inc.
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İMROHOROGLU, A. (1989): "Cost of Business Cycles with
Indivisibilities and Liquidity Constraints," The Journal of Political
Economy, 97(6), 1364-1383. [pdf]
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IMROHOROGLU, A., S. IMROHOROGLU, AND D. JOINES
(1995): "A Life Cycle Analysis of Social Security," Economic Theory,
6(1), 83-114.
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JAIMOVICH, N., AND H. E. SIU (2007): "The young, the old,
and the restless: demographics and business cycle volatility," Staff Report
387, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
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KAPLAN, G., AND G. L. VIOLANTE (2008): "How Much Insurance
in Bewley Models?," Working Papers.
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KLETTE, T., AND S. KORTUM (2004): "Innovating Firms and
Aggregate Innovation," Journal of Political Economy, 112(5),
986-1018.
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KRUEGER, D., AND F. KUBLER (2002): "Intergenerational
Risk-Sharing via Social Security When Financial Markets Are Incomplete,"
The American Economic Review, 92(2), 407-410.
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KRUEGER, D., AND H. LUSTIG (2007): "When is Market
Incompleteness Irrelevant for the Price of Aggregate Risk?," .
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KRUEGER, D., AND F. PERRI (2006): "Does Income Inequality
Lead to Consumption Inequality? Evidence and Theory," Review of
Economic Studies, 73(1), 163-193.
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KRUSELL, P., L. OHANIAN, J.-V. RíOS-RULL, AND G. L.
VIOLANTE (2000): "Capital-Skill Complementarity and Inequality: A
Macroeconomic Analysis," Econometrica, 68(5), 1029-1053.
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KRUSELL, P., AND A. SMITH (1997): "Income and Wealth
Heterogeneity, Portfolio Choice, and Equilibrium Asset Returns,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics, 1(2), 387-422.
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KRUSELL, P., AND A. SMITH (1998): "Income and Wealth Heterogeneity in the
Macroeconomy," The Journal of Political Economy, 106(5), 867-896.
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KRUSELL, P., AND A. SMITH (1999): "On the Welfare Effects of Eliminating Business
Cycles," Review of Economic Dynamics, 2(1), 245-272.
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KRUSELL, P., AND A. SMITH (2006): "Quantitative Macroeconomic Models with
Heterogeneous Agents," in Advances in Economics and Econometrics:
Theory and Applications, ed. by R. Blundell, W. K. Newey, and
T. Persson, pp. 298-340. Cambridge University Press.
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LIVSHITS, I., J. MACGEE, AND M. TERTILT (2007a):
"Accounting for the Rise in Consumer Bankruptcies," NBER Working Papers
13363, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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LIVSHITS, I., J. MACGEE, AND M. TERTILT (2007b): "Consumer
Bankruptcy: A Fresh Start," American Economic Review, 97(1),
402-418.
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LLOYD-ELLIS, H. (1999): "Endogenous Technological Change and Wage
Inequality," The American Economic Review, 89(1), 47-77.
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LLOYD-ELLIS, HUW, AND BERNHARDT, DAN (2000):
"Enterprise, Inequality and Economic Development," The Review of
Economic Studies, 67(1), 147-168.
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MALIAR, L., AND S. MALIAR (2001): "Heterogeneity in
capital and skills in a neoclassical stochastic growth model," Journal
of Economic Dynamics and Control, 25(9), 1367-1397.
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NAKAJIMA, M. (2008): "Optimal Capital Income Taxation with
Housing," Working Papers.
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PIJOAN-MAS, J. (2006): "Precautionary Savings or Working Longer
Hours?," Review of Economic Dynamics, 9(2), 326-352.
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PRESTON, B., AND M. ROCA (2007): "Incomplete Markets,
Heterogeneity and Macroeconomic Dynamics," NBER Working Papers 13260,
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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QUADRINI, V. (2000): "Entrepreneurship, Saving and Social
Mobility," Review of Economic Dynamics, 3(1), 1-40.
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RíOS-RULL, J.-V. (1995): "Models with Heterogenous Agents,"
in Frontiers of Business Cycle Research, ed. by T. F. Cooley, chap. 4.
Princeton University Press, Princeton. [ps]
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RíOS-RULL, J.-V. (1996): "Life-Cycle Economies and Aggregate
Fluctuations," The Review of Economic Studies, 63(3), 465-489.
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RíOS-RULL, J.-V. (1998): "Computing Equilibria in Models with
Heterogenous Agents," in Computational Methods for the Study of
Dynamic Economics, ed. by R. Marimon, and A. Scott, chap. 9.
Oxford University Press.
[pdf]
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STORESLETTEN, K. (2000): "Sustaining Fiscal Policy Through
Immigration," The Journal of Political Economy, 108(2), 300-323.
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STORESLETTEN, K., C. I. TELMER, AND A. YARON (2001a): "How
Important Are Idiosyncratic Shocks? Evidence from Labor Supply," The
American Economic Review, 91(2), 413-417.
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STORESLETTEN, K., C. I. TELMER, AND A. YARON (2001b): "The
welfare cost of business cycles revisited: Finite lives and cyclical
variation in idiosyncratic risk," European Economic Review, 45(7),
1311-1339.
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STORESLETTEN, K., C. I. TELMER, AND A. YARON (2004):
"Consumption and risk sharing over the life cycle," Journal of
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