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ECO 535 - Spring 2008
Quantitative Macroeconomics

Seminar in Macroeconomics - Wed 10:00 - 1:00, Room: Dunkman

NOTE: You can find all class materials at Blackboard. If not, drop me an email with your NetID.

Syllabus[pdf]

Instructor

  • Jay H. Hong, Harkness 227
  • Office Hours: Thursday 11-12p and by appointment

Course Description

ECO 535 is the second sequence in 2nd year macro. The goal of this course is to learn the tools to write a good paper which are combinations of the followings: (1) theoretical tools (models), (2) relationship between model and data (calibration), (3) technique to solve the model (computation), most importantly (4) new idea with relevant economic questions. Therefore, we will learn a class of models which can be used, look at data seriously, learn how to solve the models with the computer, and try to come up with your own research agenda.

Here is my favorite saying from Víctor Ríos-Rull. "This is a Ph.D. course not a Masters course. As such students are not expected to learn what other people have discovered, but the tools that are needed in order to discover things by themselves. Because of this reason the active work of the students is crucial to achieve the objective of mastering the tools that are described above. This is a course to learn to do things, and, therefore, it requires to do some things."

You should expect to learn a lot from homeworks which will be assigned almost everyweeks. Generally speaking, homeworks will involve some degree of computer programming and will be designed to be relatively difficult. The main point of these homeworks is to make students get used to the tools and get ready to write a good research paper.

Prerequisites

  • First year macro sequences (Eco 475 and 476) are prerequisites. Also, I will assume that students are familiar with the topics covered in the second year macro class (Eco 534).
  • Some prior knowledge in computer programming are recommended. If you don't have any, it is good time to start learning fortran. Students are also expected to learn the packages such as, Matlab, Stata.

Requirements and Grades

  • Your grade will be determined by equally weighted homework assignments, several referee reports, (at least two)class presentations, a final exam, and a final research proposal. The due date of your proposal is 11:59pm (ET) on May 18, 2008.
  • Every assignments should be typed up in TeX and converted in pdf and uploaded into Blackboard. This is the only way to submit your homework. No email, no hardcopy, please. The file name should read as "535HW1-Lastname.pdf". Make sure to attach your own code if your assignment requires some programming.

Textbooks

There is no textbook in this course. But, there are a few excellent references which you will find useful.
  • Kenneth Judd, Numerical Methods in Economics, MIT press (ISBN 0-262-10071-1)
  • Ramon Marimon and Andrew Scott ed., Computational Methods for the Study of Dynamic Economies, Oxford Univ Press (ISBN 0-199-24827-3)
  • Burkhard Heer and Alfred Maußner, Dynamic General Equilibrium Modelling: Computational Methods and Applications, Springer (ISBN 3-540-22095-4)
  • William Press et al, Numerical Recipes in FORTRAN, Cambridge University Press, available online

Schedule

In the first few classes, we will review what we've learned from last year and then see more complicated models. We will start again from neoclassical growth model. We will also look at various numerical methods to solve the standard model. Then, we will look at the economies with incomplete markets. We will also learn the basic overlapping generation model and its applications. We will also look at family economics.

Problem Sets

References

  • AIYAGARI, S. R. (1994): "Uninsured Idiosyncratic Risk and Aggregate Saving," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 109(3), 659-684. [pdf]
  • AIYAGARI, S. R., AND E. R. MCGRATTAN (1998): "The optimum quantity of debt," Journal of Monetary Economics, 42(3), 447-469.
  • ALVAREZ, F., AND U. JERMANN (2000): "Efficiency, Equilibrium, and Asset Pricing with Risk of Default," Econometrica, 68(4), 775-797.
  • ARUOBA, S. B., J. FERNANDEZ-VILLAVERDE, AND J. F. RUBIO-RAMIREZ (2006): "Comparing solution methods for dynamic equilibrium economies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 30(12), 2477-2508.
  • BEWLEY, T. (1986): "Stationary Monetary Equilibrium With a Continuum of Independently Fluctuating Consumers," in Contributions to Mathematical Economics in Honor of Gérard Debreu, ed. by W. Hildenbrand, and A. Mas-Colell. North Holland, Amsterdam.
  • CAGETTI, M. (2003): "Wealth Accumulation over the Life Cycle and Precautionary Savings," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 21(3), 339-53.
  • CAGETTI, M., AND M. DENARDI (2006): "Entrepreneurship, Frictions, and Wealth," Journal of Political Economy, 114(5), 835-870.
  • CASTAñEDA, A., J. DíAZ-GIMéNEZ, AND J.-V. RíOS-RULL (2003): "Accounting for earnings and wealth inequality," Journal of Political Economy, 111(4), 818-857. [pdf]
  • CAUCUTT, E. M., N. GUNER, AND J. KNOWLES (2002): "Why Do Women Wait? Matching, Wage Inequality, and the Incentives for Fertility Delay," Review of Economic Dynamics, 5(4), 815-855.
  • CHATTERJEE, S. (1994): "Transitional dynamics and the distribution of wealth in a neoclassical growth model," Journal of Public Economics, 54(1), 97-119.
  • CHATTERJEE, S., D. CORBAE, M. NAKAJIMA, AND J.-V. RíOS-RULL (2007): "A Quantitative Theory of Unsecured Consumer Credit with Risk of Default," Econometrica, 75(6), 1525-1589.
  • CONESA, J. C., S. KITAO, AND D. KRUEGER (2007): "Taxing Capital? Not a Bad Idea After All!," NBER Working Papers 12880, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • CONESA, J. C., AND D. KRUEGER (1999): "Social Security Reform with Heterogeneous Agents," Review of Economic Dynamics, 2(4), 757-795.
  • COSTAIN, J. S., AND M. REITER (2004): "Stabilization versus insurance: welfare effects of procyclical taxation under incomplete markets," Economics Working Papers 890, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
  • CUBEDDU, L. M., AND J.-V. RíOS-RULL (2003): "Families as shocks," Journal of the European Economic Association, 1(2-3), 671-682, (Papers and Proceedings of the Seventeenth Annual Congress of the European Economic Association, Venice, 21-24 August 2002).
  • VILA, J., J. H. HONG, P. KRUSELL, AND J.-V. RíOS-RULL (2005): "Constrained efficiency in the neoclassical growth model with uninsurable idiosyncratic shocks," Unpublished Manuscript, CAERP. [pdf]
  • DENARDI, M. (2004): "Wealth Inequality and Intergenerational Links," Review of Economic Studies, 71, 743-768.
  • DOMEIJ, D., AND J. HEATHCOTE (2004): "On The Distributional Effects Of Reducing Capital Taxes," International Economic Review, 45(2), 523-554.
  • EROSA, A., AND G. VENTURA (2002): "On inflation as a regressive consumption tax," Journal of Monetary Economics, 49(4), 761-795.
  • FERNáNDEZ-VILLAVERDE, J., AND D. KRUEGER (2004): "Consumption and Saving over the Life Cycle: How Important are Consumer Durables?," 2004 Meeting Papers 357b, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  • FLODEN, M., AND J. LINDE (2001a): "Idiosyncratic Risk in the United States and Sweden: Is There a Role for Government Insurance?," Review of Economic Dynamics, 4(2), 406-437.
  • FLODEN, M., AND J. LINDE (2001b): "Idiosyncratic Risk in the United States and Sweden: Is There a Role for Government Insurance?," Review of Economic Dynamics, 4(2), 406-437.
  • GALOR, ODED, AND ZEIRA, JOSEPH (1993): "Income Distribution and Macroeconomics," The Review of Economic Studies, 60(1), 35-52.
  • HEATHCOTE, J. (2005): "Fiscal Policy with Heterogeneous Agents and Incomplete Markets," Review of Economic Studies, 72(1), 161-188.
  • HEATHCOTE, J., K. STORESLETTEN, AND G. L. VIOLANTE (2007): "Insurance and Opportunities: A Welfare Analysis of Labor Market Risk," NBER Working Papers 13673, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • HOPENHAYN, H., AND R. ROGERSON (1993): "Job Turnover and Policy Evaluation: A General Equilibrium Analysis," Journal of Political Economy, 101(5), 915-38.
  • HOPENHAYN, H. A. (1992): "Entry, Exit, and Firm Dynamics in Long Run Equilibrium," Econometrica, 60(5), 1127-50.
  • HUBBARD, R. G., AND K. L. JUDD (1987): "Social Security and Individual Welfare: Precautionary Saving, Borrowing Constraints, and the Payroll Tax," American Economic Review, 77(4), 630-646.
  • HUGGETT, M. (1993): "The Risk Free Rate in Heterogeneous-Agents, Incomplete Insurance Economies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 17(5-6), 953-970. [pdf]
  • HUGGETT, M. (1996): "Wealth distribution in life-cycle economies," Journal of Monetary Economics, 38(3), 469-494.
  • HUGGETT, M. (2004): "Precautionary Wealth Accumulation," Review of Economic Studies, 71, 769-781.
  • HUGGETT, M., AND G. VENTURA (1999): "On the Distributional Effects of Social Security Reform," Review of Economic Dynamics, 2(3), 498-531.
  • HUGGETT, M., G. VENTURA, AND A. YARON (2007): "Sources of Lifetime Inequality," NBER Working Papers 13224, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • İMROHOROGLU, A. (1989): "Cost of Business Cycles with Indivisibilities and Liquidity Constraints," The Journal of Political Economy, 97(6), 1364-1383. [pdf]
  • IMROHOROGLU, A., S. IMROHOROGLU, AND D. JOINES (1995): "A Life Cycle Analysis of Social Security," Economic Theory, 6(1), 83-114.
  • JAIMOVICH, N., AND H. E. SIU (2007): "The young, the old, and the restless: demographics and business cycle volatility," Staff Report 387, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
  • KLETTE, T., AND S. KORTUM (2004): "Innovating Firms and Aggregate Innovation," Journal of Political Economy, 112(5), 986-1018.
  • KRUEGER, D., AND F. KUBLER (2002): "Intergenerational Risk-Sharing via Social Security When Financial Markets Are Incomplete," The American Economic Review, 92(2), 407-410.
  • KRUEGER, D., AND H. LUSTIG (2007): "When is Market Incompleteness Irrelevant for the Price of Aggregate Risk?," .
  • KRUEGER, D., AND F. PERRI (2006): "Does Income Inequality Lead to Consumption Inequality? Evidence and Theory," Review of Economic Studies, 73(1), 163-193.
  • KRUSELL, P., L. OHANIAN, J.-V. RíOS-RULL, AND G. L. VIOLANTE (2000): "Capital-Skill Complementarity and Inequality: A Macroeconomic Analysis," Econometrica, 68(5), 1029-1053.
  • KRUSELL, P., AND A. SMITH (1997): "Income and Wealth Heterogeneity, Portfolio Choice, and Equilibrium Asset Returns," Macroeconomic Dynamics, 1(2), 387-422.
  • KRUSELL, P., AND A. SMITH (1998): "Income and Wealth Heterogeneity in the Macroeconomy," The Journal of Political Economy, 106(5), 867-896.
  • KRUSELL, P., AND A. SMITH (1999): "On the Welfare Effects of Eliminating Business Cycles," Review of Economic Dynamics, 2(1), 245-272.
  • KRUSELL, P., AND A. SMITH (2006): "Quantitative Macroeconomic Models with Heterogeneous Agents," in Advances in Economics and Econometrics: Theory and Applications, ed. by R. Blundell, W. K. Newey, and T. Persson, pp. 298-340. Cambridge University Press.
  • LIVSHITS, I., J. MACGEE, AND M. TERTILT (2007a): "Accounting for the Rise in Consumer Bankruptcies," NBER Working Papers 13363, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • LIVSHITS, I., J. MACGEE, AND M. TERTILT (2007b): "Consumer Bankruptcy: A Fresh Start," American Economic Review, 97(1), 402-418.
  • LLOYD-ELLIS, H. (1999): "Endogenous Technological Change and Wage Inequality," The American Economic Review, 89(1), 47-77.
  • LLOYD-ELLIS, HUW, AND BERNHARDT, DAN (2000): "Enterprise, Inequality and Economic Development," The Review of Economic Studies, 67(1), 147-168.
  • MALIAR, L., AND S. MALIAR (2001): "Heterogeneity in capital and skills in a neoclassical stochastic growth model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 25(9), 1367-1397.
  • PIJOAN-MAS, J. (2006): "Precautionary Savings or Working Longer Hours?," Review of Economic Dynamics, 9(2), 326-352.
  • PRESTON, B., AND M. ROCA (2007): "Incomplete Markets, Heterogeneity and Macroeconomic Dynamics," NBER Working Papers 13260, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • QUADRINI, V. (2000): "Entrepreneurship, Saving and Social Mobility," Review of Economic Dynamics, 3(1), 1-40.
  • OS-RULL, J.-V. (1995): "Models with Heterogenous Agents," in Frontiers of Business Cycle Research, ed. by T. F. Cooley, chap. 4. Princeton University Press, Princeton. [ps]
  • OS-RULL, J.-V. (1996): "Life-Cycle Economies and Aggregate Fluctuations," The Review of Economic Studies, 63(3), 465-489.
  • OS-RULL, J.-V. (1998): "Computing Equilibria in Models with Heterogenous Agents," in Computational Methods for the Study of Dynamic Economics, ed. by R. Marimon, and A. Scott, chap. 9. Oxford University Press. [pdf]
  • RODRIGUEZ, S. B., J. DIAZ-GIMENEZ, V. QUADRINI, AND J.-V. RIOR-RULL (2002): "Updated facts on the U.S. distributions of earnings, income, and wealth," Quarterly Review, (Sum), 2-35.
  • STORESLETTEN, K. (2000): "Sustaining Fiscal Policy Through Immigration," The Journal of Political Economy, 108(2), 300-323.
  • STORESLETTEN, K., C. I. TELMER, AND A. YARON (2001a): "How Important Are Idiosyncratic Shocks? Evidence from Labor Supply," The American Economic Review, 91(2), 413-417.
  • STORESLETTEN, K., C. I. TELMER, AND A. YARON (2001b): "The welfare cost of business cycles revisited: Finite lives and cyclical variation in idiosyncratic risk," European Economic Review, 45(7), 1311-1339.
  • STORESLETTEN, K., C. I. TELMER, AND A. YARON (2004): "Consumption and risk sharing over the life cycle," Journal of Monetary Economics, 51(3), 609-633.
  • TAUCHEN, G. (1986): "Finite state markov-chain approximations to univariate and vector autoregressions," Economics Letters, 20(2), 177-181.
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