Achieving Maximal Value
from Digital Technologies
in Scholarly Communication
by
Charles E. Phelps, Ph.D.
Presented to the Association of Research Libraries
October 16, 1998
Washington, DC
Correspondence:
Charles E. Phelps
200 Wallis Hall
University of Rochester
Rochester, NY 14627
email: cphelps@admin.rochester.edu
©1998. Permission to distribute for educational purposes freely granted.
Thanks to Ron Dow and John Vaughn for comments on previous drafts.
I. Our Goals and the Origins of Our Problems
Research universities and research libraries obviously share common goals, namely the
support of the production and dissemination of knowledge, i.e., teaching and research. As digital
technologies emerge and become more prominent in the worlds of higher education, we all grapple
with a series of issues that these new technologies create or emphasize. Our universities and the
libraries within them -- and also our offices, dormitories, and classrooms -- require massive
investments in infrastructure to allow optimal use of other digital resources we put in place. As a
simple example, the new Voyager electronic catalog and search engine capability we installed at
the University of Rochester has much wider value and use because we have also installed the
ResNet, a system bringing Internet connections to every dorm room, so that students can use
important library resources directly from their dorms.
However, we have just begun to scratch the surface in our understanding of how digital
technologies will affect our world. Perhaps in no area is this more true than in the realm of scholarly
communication, a world where librarians and provosts alike bear the brunt of faculty concerns as
the annual budget process precipitates yet another round of requests to slash subscriptions to
scholarly journals, denials of requests to acquire access to new data bases, and reduced budgets for
acquisition of monographs. Librarians are continually asked to provide more and more with less
and less effective buying power.
The pressures on library budgets come from several directions. Dave Shulenburger, Provost
at the University of Kansas, has eloquently documented how costs of journals increase at a rate that
far exceeds the rate of inflation.(1) Some institutions are providing detailed information to their
faculty about the costs of journals to heighten awareness and assist faculty in decision making about
journal subscription cuts. For example, UCSD's web site(2) gives the cost per page for every journal
in a specialized (oceanography) library, ranging from a high of $3.93 per page(3) to a low of $.03 -
$.04 per page(4) Wisconsin's librarian Ken Frazier has demonstrated large differences not only in
the cost per page of publications, but more importantly for us, the costs per use.(5)
Second, as a natural consequence of the expansion of the knowledge-producing industry
around the world, new journals in new fields and in sub-specialty fields proliferate like mushrooms
in the forest. This is a predictable outcome of our successes in academia, and should come as no
surprise. Adam Smith, perhaps the most famous economist of all time, tells us why: "Division of
labor is limited by the extent of the market." On the frontier, we are all Jacks and Jills of all trades
(and masters of none). As the population expands into cities, we specialize, and production
becomes more efficient as we do so. The development of knowledge follows the same path: as the
scope of knowledge expands, specialization and sub-specialization follows naturally, just as Adam
Smith told us it would. So we create more sub-specialty societies, more sub-specialty journals, and
more demands on library acquisition. Faculty members in our universities naturally want not only
the general journals in their field, but also the pertinent sub-specialty journals that pertain to their
own interests, and often in which their own work is published. And we create more graduate
students who further extend the frontiers of knowledge and the degree of sub-specialization. I know
of no field of knowledge that has not experienced a general pattern of expansion in scope, increased
sub-specialization, and proliferation of learned societies and specialty journals that follow.(6) Of
course, while every scholar applauds the expansion of knowledge, universities and colleges grapple
with the fiscal consequences of this expansion. We look to the realm of digital communication as
a way of helping to resolve the conflicting goals of expansion of knowledge (and communication
thereof) and the cost consequences of the increasing journal publications that follow this knowledge
expansion.
Added to these events we now find a new technology -- computers and their related
accessories of printers, modems, scanners, and of course the emergence of the World Wide Web
-- that offer the potential for completely transforming the way scholars learn, research,
communicate, and teach. But these new technologies have, at least to this point, added to the
financial burdens of universities and libraries, not reduced them. While the costs of computing
continue to fall at astonishing rates, the expanding capabilities of computers have made them
ubiquitous, and we can now do things with computers in our work that were unheard of even as
recently as a decade ago. But these new opportunities are so enticing that we rush to employ and
enjoy them, and indeed, competition for faculty and students virtually forces us to keep our
technologies current, both in the library and elsewhere in our universities. As a result, both for
equipment and staff, electronic media add to our capabilities and costs, rather than simply replacing
older, less efficient technologies of communication and transferral of information.(7)
While early versions of electronic journals (e-journals) simply replicated the purposes of
paper journals (often less elegantly), it has now become clear that (as computational power at the
desktop continues to increase(8)) the new digital media provide opportunities to expand the ways in
which information can be communicated in digital formats. The ability to include detailed graphics
and ( a capability that print media can never produce ) "movies" of events, speakers, or even time-varying simulation models offers a way to communicate the results of scholarly work in ways never
before achievable. Ultimately, the attractiveness of these capabilities will make the use of digital
media almost universal.
Combining all of these forces -- rapidly increasing journal prices, proliferation of new
scholarly journals, and the additional costs of electronic technologies adding to our budgets -- most
research libraries and their university parents find themselves in a cost crunch that demands ever-increasing attention. The remainder of this paper discusses steps we (as the community of higher
education) are taking to resolve these problems.
II. Internally Focused Solutions
In many ways, much as in the old Pogo cartoon, we can say that "We have met the enemy,
and they are us." A recent paper appeared on another subject with a title that exactly describes our
circumstances here: "We Have Circled the Wagons -- Should We Shoot In or Out?" Our problems,
and possible "internal" solutions, are discussed next.
Acquisition Practices. Some universities have mechanisms for determining which journals our
libraries purchase that have imperfect links to the academic enterprise in our universities. In most
cases, the bibliographer knows the field well and works consultatively with the relevant faculty, but
even then, the financial incentives might work against the overall good of the university. Some
journal subscriptions might exist only because a faculty member, now retired, once requested that
the journal be ordered. Faculty embarking on new fields of research may seek subscriptions to an
entirely new set of journals for a library, possibly even financed by an external grant for a few years,
that eventually add to the acquisition budget. Active review might weed out some of these, but only
recent budget pressures on acquisitions have forced a careful rethinking of acquisitions, and even
then, seldom going to a true "zero based budget" approach.
We have almost no capability of measuring the true patterns of use of journals in our
libraries, but rather can only measure occasions when a bound volume is checked out. We cannot
observe either when a journal article is read completely within the confines of the library or (using
copiers within the library) when a journal article is duplicated (as is allowed under fair use ) for later
analysis by faculty or students. It is entirely possible that numerous journal subscriptions continue
in our libraries with no readers, either current or potential. Perhaps most importantly, our
acquisition decisions are often made by staff in our libraries based on limited understanding of the
research interests of the faculty or the importance of various journals in the field. One important
issue for all research universities is to create decision mechanisms that not only bring the potential
users of journals fully into the decision, but also to provide appropriate financial links between the
recommendations of the faculty and the resources they have at their disposal for journals,
monographs, data sets, computers, travel, graduate stipends, and all other academic activities that
they value.(9)
Ownership vs. Access. In earlier eras, libraries had to own a document in order for users to be able
to have access to it. When the library at Alexandria (perhaps only mythically) contained all of the
written knowledge of humanity, this was not an issue, but it certainly is now. We face multiple
issues here. First, our own faculty need to become more aware of the costs associated with
ownership, and begin to own the decisions about tradeoffs between immediate access to a smaller
set of material versus a perhaps-slower access to a much larger set of material (e.g., from
interlibrary loan and consortial planning of journal subscriptions). We have made great strides in
our ability to link resources across universities and colleges but I conjecture that few of our faculty
fully understand the nature of tradeoffs involved.
Second, the criteria by which libraries have been evaluated contain problems in their ability
to comprehend and evaluate the distinctions between ownership and access. The ARL's rating
system for research libraries provides positive scores for owning periodicals and monographs, for
acquiring new periodicals and monographs, and for staff size and salary, but it does not "reward"
consortial access, improved electronic search capabilities, the ability to expedite interlibrary loans,
for access to back issues of journals through such capabilities as JSTOR, or entre' into electronic
data bases. I recognize that these are difficult problems, but at the same time I believe that -- at
least on the margin -- decisions about resource use within research libraries are distorted by these
formulaic approaches to evaluating libraries, even though the ARL index was designed for a
different purpose (membership choices) than as a ranking of libraries. The truth is that it is
sometimes used as a ranking device, and affects behavior accordingly.
Evaluation of Individual Faculty, Departments, and Schools. Unfortunately, there remain
pockets of academia where scholarship is evaluated by the pound rather than by its quality. I know
of major research universities where schools within them have fixed criteria for numbers of journal
publications before a person will be recommended for tenure. The review processes of major
governmental funding agencies (NIH, NSF) have limited (e.g., to two pages per investigator) the
length of the researcher's publication list that can be included in a proposal, which helps some, but
there still remain major incentives to increase the number of publications. Even the prestigious
National Academy of Science evaluation of the quality of doctoral programs(10) contains indexes of
the number of publications per faculty member, as well as the more pertinent number of citations
per article. A few universities have adopted approaches that get away from this problem, for
example, by seeking only five articles chosen by the candidate for tenure that will be used in the
evaluation. This has the important (and to some, unhappy) effect that reviewers of the material
actually have to read the manuscripts, rather than just counting publications on a CV.
Property Rights to Intellectual Property. Perhaps the most important aspect of this problem is
that we, as universities, have totally abandoned any property rights to the work produced by our
faculty. Our faculty produce the scholarly work that the journals publish, they provide the editorial
boards and referees that evaluate submitted manuscripts, we buy and make available the journals
when they are published, and take responsibility for archiving and providing access to the body of
scholarly work.(11) In short, the large bulk of the published work -- and almost all of the intellectually
important work in the world of scholarly publication -- is undertaken by our faculty, yet they
routinely turn over all property rights to the publishers of the journals in exchange for benefits of
publication. Our ability to use this work in our own teaching and scholarship through "fair use"
laws is somewhat limited, such at (for example) even using work we have originally authored in
"course packs" for our own students often requires a copyright fee.
The certification implied by publication is by far the most important benefit, in my view,
in addition to the editorial improvement, as well as the distribution achieved by physically
publishing and mailing copies of the journals. As David Shulenburger has detailed in a companion
discussion to this work (see note 1 regarding his NEAR proposal), there appear to be significant
and -- importantly -- achievable and acceptable modifications to the usual total assignment of
property rights that would help shift the balance of benefits and costs more to the institutions of
higher education that produce the original work. The issue is not whether the journals provide
valuable services -- they do without question -- but rather whether the terms of trade are
appropriate.
III.. Externally Focused Efforts
In addition to the internal steps that institutions of higher education must take to help resolve
these problems, a number of externally focused approaches are now appearing on the scene that
each hold important promise for helping to resolve part of the problems we confront. I wish to be
clear that none of these efforts is intended to solve these problems alone, nor should we expect them
to do so. It is also important to note that, in general, the efforts and ideas now appearing on the
horizon mutually complement each other, rather than standing in conflict. Indeed, some cannot
work without the presence of others.
To understand the role of the various efforts now underway, we need to review the functions
performed by the current system of journal publication. These functions are so linked together in
people's minds that they often find it difficult to think of separating them, yet it is precisely the new
capabilities provided by digital technologies that allow us to consider their separation. The key
functions performed by old "paper" publication processes include:
evaluation and certification of quality
editorial improvement
distribution
indexing and search
archiving and retrieval
Every discipline contains within it a hierarchy of scholarly journals, well understood within
the field, such that the journal in which a manuscript is eventually published contains important and
reliable information about the quality of the work. Authors understand this hierarchy, and normally
begin their submission process by aiming a manuscript at a high quality journal, perhaps stretching
a bit in quality. Serial rejections and re-submissions eventually lead most manuscripts to find a
home in some journal, sometimes in the fourth or fifth iteration. Where it lands signals its quality.
Virtually the entire editorial process to accomplish this important step is carried out by faculty of
the major institutions of higher education in the US -- our faculty -- serving either as editors,
editorial associates, or referees, a point to which we can later return.
Once a manuscript is accepted for publication, a round of editorial improvement takes place
(which has indeed begun during the prior review process). This involves both academic editors'
input and technical "editing" to bring the manuscript into compliance with the journal's standards
of quality and appearance. Most of this work, and the subsequent typesetting and proofreading,
primarily involves technical staff paid by the journal.
Upon publication, journals are distributed to individuals and libraries (subscribers) who have
paid for the right to acquire a copy. The US Postal Service subsidizes this process through low cost
postal rates for educational material.
Libraries receive and catalog these journals, bind them into annual volumes at the end of
the year, and these catalogs form one basis for scholars to learn of possible valuable sources of
material for their own research.
And finally, by controlling the environment, replacing missing or defaced copies, and
general protection of the resource, the libraries of our colleges and universities collectively provide
the method by which archiving and retrieval of journals takes place.
Any system relying on electronic media to replace paper journals must replace each and
every one of these functions with a process viewed at least as desirable by the faculty carrying out
the research involved. If the system fails on any of these accounts, the natural consequence will
be that scholars use the new medium and in addition submit their manuscript to a traditional
journal. This is not to say that every addition to the world of scholarly publishing need carry out
all of these functions, but rather that the collection of new additions must reliably provide this set
of functions before the previous system will be given up.
Publishers of traditional paper journals realize that they have in their hands an enormously
valuable property -- the intellectual property rights (copyright) to the scholarly work that they
publish. This property right has become increasingly valuable as the world of digital information
increases in its scope, including the ability to communicate, exchange ideas, search data bases for
resources and references, and the like. The very production of Ph.D. trained scholars who carry out
research has accumulated through the decades since sputnik in a process that pushes much further
into the hierarchy of academia the demands for high quality resources to support scholarly work,
further adding to the demands for journals and related material. Publishers of journals, both for-profit and not-for-profit (mostly, in the latter case, learned societies) have taken advantage of this
increasing demand by raising prices at rates that, at least in some cases, are far exceed increases in
costs. David Shulenberger's work shows that in recent years, for profit publishers have, on average,
increased their prices at a rate fourfold that of inflation.
Cost-Affecting Responses
Many ideas have emerged in higher education to deal with these increases, some helpful,
some harmful, some nearly suicidal. At the suicidal end of the spectrum lie formalized policies
from some universities that their libraries shall automatically receive budget increases necessary
to match price increases posted by journal publishers. One might as well put on a deer costume and
go out in the forest during hunting season! This simply invites publishers to raise prices without
constraint, and if every college and university in the US followed these policies, publishers would
drive prices to levels that we would need telescopes to find. At the opposite extreme, some
universities have informed specific publishers that the total spending on their journals is fixed by
current spending, so that if they raise prices, subscriptions will be canceled so that publishers'
revenue remains fixed. Since the marginal cost of an additional copy of the journal represents a
trivial amount of the overall costs of production, this has the potential for stemming publishers'
price increases, particularly if the policy were more widely adopted.
Another innovation that both promises to stem costs and to improve access is the emergence
of collaborative arrangements of various sorts. These consortia develop a common catalog,
facilitating inter-library exchange, and at least offer the promise of reducing the multiplicity of
copies purchased at every college and university.(12) In addition, numerous regional buying consortia
have emerged to capture scale benefits in purchases of both hard copy and electronic data base
information. There remains a major educational effort with faculty of our higher educational
institutions about the benefits and costs of using such services.
Fundamentally, however, the issues of journal pricing can only be resolved by systematic
and widespread introduction of vigorous competition into the world of publishing, competition that
has not emerged until recently in part because the producers of scholarly manuscripts (faculty) and
their institutions (universities, both individually and collectively) have left the world of scholarly
journals entirely to other entities, both commercial and not for profit (learned societies). One key
to understanding this is the degree of specialization that has naturally emerged within academic
disciplines and consequently in journal publications. Sub-specialization commonly leads to
creation of a "field" that can only meaningfully support one journal. There, the commercial
interests of the publisher coincide with the academic interests of the scholars. Once a sub-field is
established, if the volume of scholarly work increases to the point where it could support two or
more journals in the same field, the most likely response will have the original sub-field divide into
two or more sub-sub-fields, each with their own journal. The scholars find this appropriate because
it focuses their attention on a more limited spectrum of journals, and they also find more ready
publication of their work in more highly specialized journals. The commercial aspects of
publication also embrace and support this outcome, both through the natural economies of scale of
journal publication and also because of the de facto monopoly position that this creates for the
journal.
Particularly the commercial sector has made strong and successful efforts to expand the
realm of journals that they publish and control, and have succeeded through time in establishing an
intellectual stronghold in our worlds of scholarly communication by creating excellent editorial
boards, attracting (in part, through lack of viable alternatives) our best scholarly work, and hence
staking out the high ground in the intellectual hierarchy of our disciplines. Having achieved that
high ground, they are now in a position to exploit the economic value of that reputation, and they
do so by raising prices far above production costs, making journal publishing a highly profitable
enterprise. They have also succeeded in stifling competition, not only through provision of
excellent support for the editorial boards that they have recruited (often the best minds in the field)
but also by such tactics as requiring five year non-competing clauses of editors who sign on, or
simply by buying the competition.
Ultimately, to introduce effective competition into the world of scholarly publishing, the
institutions of higher education must either separately or collectively create effective alternatives
that serve all of the functions now provided by print journals, and make these alternatives at least
as attractive to scholars (both in their roles as author, referee, and editor) as current journals do.
Effective components of successful competition need not each provide every function now
performed by paper journals. New digital technologies allow the decoupling of these functions in
ways that make entry into the market easier and cheaper. We must take full advantage of these new
technologies wherever possible.
Electronic Journals. One obvious medium of competition comes through electronic journals.
Electronic journals arise at a phenomenal rate. Thousands now exist in various format and degree
of formality, some as replicas of paper journals, but many as entirely new vehicles for scholarly
communication. These can and often do serve the same functions of paper journals, as outlined
previously. However, these journals are often viewed with suspicion by authors and their
colleagues, either because the portfolio of authors or the editorial board is less famous than those
of competing print journals, or because they distrust the permanence of the system (ephemeral
archiving), or both. Indeed, access to some electronic journals is bought on a year by year basis,
so that the subscription must be continued indefinitely in order to maintain access to earlier years
of the journal's history. Put differently, some of these journals do not sell access to previous years'
archived work separately from the current-year subscription.
The ARL has introduced an innovative system to encourage electronic journals known as
SPARC.(13) This endeavor offers an important and promising vehicle to introduce further
competition into the world of scholarly publishing.
.
Dissemination, Retrieval, and Searching and Indexing. New electronic media improve on some
of the functions that paper journals perform, in some cases, hugely. "Servers" such as the system
operated at Los Alamos National Labs by Paul Ginsparg, initially for high energy physics, and now
for a wider spectrum of physicists, provide almost instant access to new material for scholars
around the world; and the capacity to search not only on title, author, keywords, and abstracts, but
on whole text, provides massive improvements in ability to find relevant information for scholars
in fields served by these resources. While initially limited to pre-prints, this resource now carries,
in most cases, copies of manuscripts identical in content (if not format) to those published by the
journals.
Existing paper journal publishers clearly recognize the threat from this environment. Some
threaten to withhold consideration of manuscripts that have been previously posted on web servers,
invoking rules against publishing material that has been "published" previously. The ability of a
journal to succeed in this strategy obviously depends on its position in the academic hierarchy: the
most sought-after journals are more likely to succeed, since achieving publication in those journals
confers important prestige upon the authors. Publishers have also tried (but immediately failed,
at least in the case of the Los Alamos server) to deter use of this system as a competitor to their own
services by insisting upon removal of a manuscript from the e-server once it is accepted for
publication, or (in a later fallback strategy that also failed) actually printed. The Los Alamos server
succeeded in breaking these rules because it was in such widespread use within the community of
high energy physics that carrying through with the threats would have eliminated all source material
for the paper journals.
A proposal from Jane Ginsberg, a law faculty member at Columbia University, would offer
the same capability for a much wider array of disciplines. This proposal, known as HYPATIA
(after an early Egyptian philosopher, mathematician, and astronomer) has not yet been implemented.
JSTOR and related servers now actively provide access to electronic versions of material previously
published in paper format. Any of these generic retrieval functions can be served either directly
from a file server or through dissemination of archival technologies (such as DVD).
Ultimately, the permanence of these digital resources remains a concern to some scholars.
Some view the matter as trivial, arguing that multiple copies (mirrored sites) provide effectively
guaranteed backup of any particular digital resource. Others note that the changes in computer
technology that inevitably occur, including shifts in the basic processors, operating systems, and
storage media create a systemic problem for archiving. Anybody who questions the importance of
this matter might try to find a computer that still reads a 5.25" floppy disk, let alone simply trying
to read more modern media (say, 3.5" disks) written in older versions of current software. (Few
people realize this, but even such widely used software as Microsoft Word or Corel's WordPerfect
are not necessarily backward compatible across versions, particularly for preserving important
information such as formatting and spacing.)
Various scholarly groups, including ARL and the Council on Library and Information
Resources (CLIR)(14) have important efforts underway to learn more about issues of archiving in the
digital age and to disseminate information that has become known.
Decoupled Certification
Ultimately, many observers of the process of scholarly publication feel that the most
important step in achieving effective competition for existing journals is to create an alternative
mechanism to provide the refereeing/certification process now provided uniquely by the editorial
boards of print (and occasionally, electronic) journals. What has become apparent is that digital
technologies allow the complete separation of the certification process from the other publication
processes (distribution, indexing, archiving). Thus, the Digital Networks and Intellectual Property
Management committee of the Association of American Universities (AAU) has begun a series of
discussions designed to learn how to bring into existence a set of editorial boards that will perform
only the refereeing function, leaving to other mechanisms the distribution and archiving. Whether
this approach succeeds or not remains a completely open question.(15)
The potential advantages of decoupling appear in several areas. First, it may introduce more
competition into the business of journal publication, especially in more highly defined sub-speciality areas where scale economies preclude the introduction of a new paper journal. Put
simply, it is easier and less costly to just engage in the certification process than to do that plus
undertake the subsequent publication process itself. Second, it will encourage scholars to use
digital media for communication (once having achieved the desired certification of quality) as their
final method of "publication." This will both enhance the shift towards electronic communication
and -- as a secondary consequence -- reduce the reliance on the paper journal world, and hence
ultimately the acquisition costs of libraries. I wish to be clear here that the process envisioned in
AAU discussions relies completely on supporting the development of various "certification" or
editorial bodies, but does not envision that the AAU or any other single organization would actually
undertake such work. The goal here is not to establish a "monopoly" certification agency, but rather
to support and encourage numerous groups to engage in such work in their own fields.
Despite the potential gains from achieving independent (decoupled) certification, some
important issues stand in the way of successful introduction of this approach, including (a) finding
mechanisms to support the costs of operating editorial boards (and refereeing systems); (b) inducing
credible and "important" figures to serve as editors in this role, rather than in one leading to
ultimate publication; and (c) finding parallel mechanisms to provide the other journal-like functions
of dissemination, indexing and search, and archiving.
On the last of these points, a variety of mechanisms appears feasible. Easiest and lowest
cost is for authors of manuscripts to post their work (in a locked and electronically certified version)
on their own web site, so that the editorial board doing the certification can produce a virtual journal
by simply posting a table of contents with links to the appropriate web sites. The problem with this,
of course, is the ephemeral nature of the postings and links: any user of the Web commonly finds
broken links or sites that no longer exist, and the tracking and updating of these links (and
maintenance of functional copies of the manuscripts) is not a casual undertaking. This concern
alone for lack of permanence makes Web-posting alone an unlikely permanent solution to the
problem of scholarly communication, although it may well serve as a good "first step" in the
process. The other important issue is that the current journal editorial process does provide for
valuable improvement in the quality of scholarly writing, through editorial work, style and format
improvement, and the like. Some fields find this more important than others, but any world of
future electronic publishing may well involve some form of editorial improvement (before
certification, potentially) or some form of archived (paper) publication for the most "important"
works published electronically, the latter set obviously being more likely candidates for substantial
editorial work and improvement.
A more complete process would link an e-server to the system, providing systematic
oversight of the electronic source of the material, much as the Los Alamos server now does for the
community of high energy physics. If e-servers and editorial boards are matched one-to-one, this
simply becomes a system of e-journals. However, if a common site for the servers can be
established to service a wide array of editorial boards, then the process of entering into the editorial
fray is simplified. Thus, parallel development of mechanisms to support independent editorial
boards and to provide e-server capabilities for distribution and archiving may be important.
Several paths for providing this electronic "server" access seem feasible. Without
implicating individual organizations (and I wish to be clear that I have not discussed these issues
with any of the named organizations), it seems tractable to expand a JSTOR-like environment to
serve as a repository for manuscripts not yet published elsewhere. HYPATIA would serve the same
function. The capabilities inherent in the ARL's SPARC system to support e-journals could also
be adopted to provide the e-server function for other editorial boards. Ultimately, a wholly
decoupled certification process can completely unlink the certification process from the distribution
and archival process. And finally, if a national resource is established following David
Shulenberger's proposal for a National Electronic Archival Repository (NEAR) the capabilities of
that system would also easily serve as repository for manuscripts certified by editorial boards as
envisioned in the AAU's decoupling proposal.
IV. Conclusions.
Incorporation of digital media into the realm of scholarly communication will inevitably
occur, but the path can vary considerably by time, depending on the efforts and specific steps taken
by the participants (including institutions of higher education, learned societies, and commercial
publishers). Initially, at least, the digital and paper worlds will surely coexist, but eventually the
digital world may will quite likely become dominant. Some steps will speed the transition, others
will hinder it. The ultimate equilibrium can also look very different, depending on the steps taken
by various parties. In particular, the costs to higher education can differ significantly, depending
on how property rights to intellectual innovations (scholarship and research) evolve, and equally
important, the benefits in terms of widespread and easy access can differ greatly across various
equilibria.
The evolutionary path towards widespread (if not complete) inclusion of digital media for
the exchange of scholarly information will occur more rapidly if higher education institutions and
organizations, including AAU, ARL, NASALGC, and others, working where possible in concert
with learned societies, move the process towards more favorable outcomes. Specific steps to take
include a series of changes in the internal practices of our universities and colleges, e.g., in tenure
and promotion review, in library procurement practices, and the like, as outlined in Section II of this
paper. A series of external steps are also available, including support of consortial efforts (such as
OCLC) for cataloging and inter-library loans, development of consortial buying for journals and
electronic data bases, support for development of e-journals (such as ARL's SPARC), support for
electronic archiving capabilities (such as JSTOR and research fostered by CLIR), and changes in
the nature of intellectual quality certification (such as the proposed decoupling mechanisms
discussed in Section III).
Ultimately, the long run equilibrium outcome hinges most strongly on the assignment of
property rights to intellectual work and the degree of competition in the areas now undertaken by
paper journal publication. Currently virtually every scholar signs over all property rights to a
manuscript in order to get it published. In exchange, the author receives a series of benefits, most
accruing directly to the author (through professional reputation enhancement), including the
certification of the manuscript's quality, its editorial improvement, distribution, indexing, and
archiving. Virtually all of the costs of this system are paid either directly or indirectly by
institutions of higher education (and to some extent, for profit organizations, in some fields of
inquiry), through the implicit or explicit subsidization of the editorial process (editor and referee
time), journal purchases, and their indexing and storing in our libraries. This disconnection between
the incidence of benefits and costs requires change.
Two types of changes will be necessary to bring this system into line with the purposes of
universities and colleges. First, we must find ways to introduce competition into every phase of the
process that journals once performed as a bundled effort -- quality certification, editorial
improvement, distribution, indexing, and archiving. And finally, as a necessary step in creating
appropriate competition, we must regain at least partial ownership of the property rights to the
intellectual work that we collectively produce as the institutions of higher education in the US and
around the world.
1. http://www.arl.org/arl/proceedings/Shulenburger.html
2. http://scilib.ucsd.edu/sio/guide/prices/perpage1.html
3. Zoomorphology, published by Springer. Of the 10 most expensive journals on their list,
6 were published by Gordon and Breach.
4. Journal of Biological Chemistry, published by Am. Society of Biochemistry,
Astrophysical Journal, published by the University of Chicago Press, and the Proceedings of the
National Academy of Science, published by the National Academy of Science.
5. http://www.wisc.edu/wendt/misc/costben/costben.html.
6. My own field of interest -- the economics of health care -- provides a good example
of this process. When I began my work in this area 30 years ago, virtually all of the pertinent
work was published in mainline economics journals such as the American Economic Review,
Journal of Political Economy, Quarterly Journal of Economics, and the like. Second tier
economics journals from regional societies sprung up to expand the scope of publication in
economics generally, and occasional work appeared in journals of labor economics, public
finance, or related "wide interest" journals, Then came the Journal of Health Economics, Health
Economics, and the Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, not to mention journals of health services
research such as Health Care Financing Review, Medical Care, Inquiry, and tangentially related
journals in public finance, taxation, welfare economics, labor economics, regulation and
industrial organization, and even medical journals such as Medical Decision Making that are all
pertinent to my work.
7. I will borrow another example from our library at the University of Rochester. Four
years ago we began installation of the Voyager electronic catalog and search engine system. We
were the first US research university to actually bring Voyager to operational status, although the
system is now in widespread use, and has recently been adopted by the National Library of
Medicine and the Library of Congress. This replaces and earlier computer-based technology and
eventually the historic card catalog, and does much more as well, but the library's operational
costs have not declined. This is not a comment about Voyager, but about technology in general.
8. This paper was written during a cross country airplane flight on a laptop computer with
computing capabilities immensely greater than those available to entire universities just a a few
decades ago. The current machine weights 3 pounds, has 7 hours of battery life, a 255 MHZ
Pentium chip, and a 2 Gbyte hard drive. All experience with computing power during the past
decades has followed Moore's Law, stating that the costs of achieving a given level of
computational capability halve every eight years.
9. In saying this, I wish to be clear that I am not advocating a complete turn-over of library
acquisition funds to departments. Two serious concerns block me from adopting such a strategy.
First, some journals span multiple departments (economics and business; biology and medical
school, philosophy and medical ethics, chemistry and chemical engineering; chemistry and
physics, etc.) Second, current faculty will not necessarily reflect appropriate inter-generational
issues; continuous collections of periodicals have value for future generations of scholars that
current faculty will not necessarily represent in their current-year decision making.
10. Research-Doctorate Programs in the United States: Continuity and Change, National
Academy Press, 1995.
11. The indexing function previously carried out by libraries is now generally purchased
from external vendors.
12. OCLC (see http://oclc.org) and the CIC (http://cic.net/cic.cic.html) are examples of
collaborative consorial approaches.
13. http://www.arl.org/sparc/index.html
14. See http://clir.org for details.
15. A more complete description of the logic underlying this approach and the potential
problems appears at http://econ.rochester.edu/Faculty/Phelps/Phelpspaper.html.